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Forecasting model of the dynamics of reproduction ratios at the regional level: a cognitive approach

Abstract

Forecasting model of the dynamics of reproduction ratios at the regional level: a cognitive approach

Bogomolova I.S., Zhertovskaya E.V., Zadorozhnyaya E.K., Masich M.A.

Incoming article date: 24.11.2014

Based on the identification of structural and functional characteristics of the performance and productivity of work, taking into account the balanced development of the region reproduction proportions, constructed cognitive map interaction of regional reproduction proportions with the external environment. In the research was carried out expert assessment of the direction of influence factors in the cognitive model predicting the dynamics of reproduction proportions of the region, on the basis of what has been built cognitive simulation model for predicting the dynamics of reproduction proportions region. This model can be used in determining the degree of influence estimation performance and efficiency of work on the system regional reproduction.

Keywords: region, the model, the proportion of reproductive performance, effectiveness, cognitive approach, dynamics, balanced development, efficiency, labor.