A modified analog-SSOR of variation type is used for numerical realization of two-dimensional discrete mathematical model of the aquatic environment, which is based on a three-dimensional hydrostatic model. Governing equations of the given model are equations for incompressible fluid, hydrostatic equation and Navier-Stokes equation. Developed model is used to predict the processes of sedimentation and the impact of negative factors affecting the condition of coastal and offshore structures. An algorithm for the minimal residuals modified analog-SSOR method for solving the difference equations is presented in the paper. The results of numerical experiments are presented.

Keywords: Iterative methods, hydrodynamics, discrete model, grid education, Navier-Stokes equation.

The paper presents the results of research level of perception a political order among students of Grozny (GGNI) at the beginning of 2012. The questioning method was used. In total 320 respondents were interviewed, and captured the age group from 17 years to 20 years. On national structure the group was almost uniform (95,9% - Chechens). The main purpose of questioning - the definition of the emotional component of the group political installation on the classical method of semantic differential Charles Osgood. A comparative analysis was carried out of the averaged semantic level of emotional portraits and making real political order. It is revealed, the image of an order is in the Republic 45% closer to positive "ideal" construct in comparison with image of an order in Russia as a whole. It is received, by the beginning of 2012 perception level considerably decreased to normal value (in comparison with "incredibly positive" 2011). Thus small excess of perception of a political order in the Republic remained.

Keywords: a political order, a political tensions, semantic differential, factor analysis, the affective component, questioning

  Results of the flight research spent in student's RBSU environment in December, 2011 are presented. The method of semantic differential is put in a basis of questioning. Respondents were offered to estimate four types of a political order by using of 20 double modal seven-ball scales. Two "ideal" orders are as much as possible attractive order and as much as possible unattractive one. And two real orders are the political order existing in Rostov region and a political order in Russia as a whole. The estimation was spent in linear approach, and also in frameworks the early developed phenomenological model considering typical nonlinearity, which is probable for a considered case. It is received, that in the end of 2011 students were characterized by negative perception as political order in area (with level -0.7, a level was normalized from +1 to-1), so an order in Russia in whole (with level -0.77). Surfaces of the stationary states, allowing to detail dynamics of change of perception level are calculated. Comparative dynamics of behaviour of emotional perception level of real political orders from the end 2009 on the end 2011 is presented. 

Keywords: questioning, semantic differential, political order, emotional perception level, typical dependence, nonlinear approach, catastrophe theory, dynamics of change of perception

The article offers a general gradient methods for all-adaptive method. With the help of an experimental environment was developed by a comparative analysis of gradient methods of finding the minimum. As a result of experiments, it was found that the adaptive method for approaching to a minimum minimal number of iterations. Thus encouraged to use this method in the optimization of the error function, artificial neural network training. 
Keywords: neural networks, gradient methods, teaching methods, analysis of optimization techniques.

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The proposed technique author improvement of data processing reduces costs for the purchase of servers and networking equipment. Described cloud models will enhance the reliability of IT resources and contribute to the flexibility of the IT infrastructure. 
Keywords: cloud computing, data processing, security of IT resources, the cloud properties, types of computing server.

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The article examines the construction of control plans and priorities ranks of information procedures for the implementation of the optimal information management in an automated information system. Constitute the basis for planning the hash ranks and priorities of both the subjects and objects of information interaction. The optimization process is provided by a choice of grades and corresponding control plans that define the extreme values ​​of the objective function of the system.
Keywords: rank, priority, plan, information services, information procedure.

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In this paper we consider the problem of effective forecasting of electricity consumption for multiple objects in automatic mode. We propose an approach to automation of forecasting process, based on CRISP-DM. There were considered methods of computational intelligence for the data preprocessing - filling the gaps and identification of the emission, methods of construction and adjustment of forecasting models. As the computational basis are used connective models, based on neural networks and on constructive neural networks. There was shown the system architecture that implements the mechanisms of computational intelligence, and was presented the results of the tests.

Keywords: consumption of electricity, forecasting automation, computational intelligence, identification of the emission, connective models.

In the article the analysis of conflictogenic potential of the North Caucasus as one of the most troubled regions of modern Russia is presented. It is shown that the inertial scenario of its development realized in modern Russia with relief local specifics is distinctly noticeable in social dynamics of the North Caucasus as well.

Keywords: conflictogenic potential, development scenario, social dynamics, troubled region, the North Caucasus.

This article presents an agent-based computational model of civil violence. In the model we present variant of civil violence when central authority seeks to suppress decentralized rebellion. This model involves two categories of actors. ‘‘Agents’’ are members of the general population and may be actively rebellious or not. ‘‘Cops’’ are the forces of the central authority, who seek out and arrest actively rebellious agents. Both type of actors are having attributes and behavioral rules.

Keywords: Legitimacy, Grievance, Perceived Hardship, Risk Aversion, Jail, Neighborhood, Vision Radius, Salami Tacktics, Initial Density, Active Agent, Quiet Agent, Civil Violence, Visualization, Tension, Ripness Index.

The mathematical model formalizes the solution of a problem of optimum control and it is meaningful to minimization of number of regional extremist system (bandit underground) taking into account relative importance of parts making it at the restrictions caused by "will" of the state to fight against extremism and objective dynamics of number of groups of extremists, an ethnosociocultural protestnost defined by factors (protest potential of society). The task was solved by means of imitating modeling on a method of scenarios.

Keywords: Mathematical model, method of scenarios, extremism, dynamics of number of groups of extremists, problem region, North Caucasus.

It is shown that for research of difficult processes of social interaction at the present stage of development of system modeling hierarchical systems of cognitive models, cognitive architecture and the integrated systems of modeling are even more often used. With reference to these processes the system of models should reflect various abstractions of the description of structure, various aspects of her behavior, stages (iterations) of its evolution in the course of functioning and development. It is offered to consider architecture of set of models in a need context for the solution of a task at a concrete investigation phase.

Keywords: process of social interaction, research, modeling, modeling technologies, systems modeling.

The mathematical model formalizes the solution of a problem of optimum control and  the minimization of regional extremist system’s number (bandit underground) is meaningful taking into account the relative importance of its parts with the restrictions caused by "will" of the state to fight against extremism and the objective dynamics of the extremist groups number, defined by the ethno-and-sociocultural protest potential factors. The problem was solved by means of imitating modeling basing on scenarios method. The results of scenery modeling of republican bandit underground dynamics are obtained depending on different variants of the power influence, in conjunction with different options of republican community development. The results of modeling calculations on fixing of a range of scenarios of quantitative dynamics of separate groups layers of a republican bandit underground are given. The identification of modeling parameters according to scenarios is executed and interpretation of the received results and practical recommendations on optimization of combating regional terrorist underground is presented.

Keywords: Mathematical model, scenery modeling, extremism, bandit underground, dynamics of number of groups layers of extremists, problem region, North Caucasus.

  The article suggests a structural model of the system and process of controlling an industrial enterprise. In this article the method of six levels of hierarchy - six levels of detail building model controlling system. We describe the elements of the system controlling an industrial enterprise, a model is made up of decision-making, identifies the criteria for raising the efficiency of the process of enterprise management.

Keywords: controlling, planning, modeling, stability organization, system analysis.

This article gives a survey of the issue of the thermal dynamics identification of the sensor network based systems, such as buildings. Given problems: weaknesses of the modern sensor network based intelligence systems, that mostly limits their potential and increasing calculation costs are overviewed. Article describes a novel approach for intelligence control systems design based on sensor networks, using methods of fuzzy modeling. The key future of the given approach is in saving of high efficiency characteristics of modeling in case of sensor network nodes amount decreasing.  As an example of the approach usage there are presented results of experimental test space thermal dynamics simulation model analyzing. The advantages of the developed solution to other existing commercial solutions are shown. The methodology was tested and its efficiency is shown.

Keywords: intellectual control systems, sensor network, data analyzing, fuzzy modeling, fuzzy classification, membership function.

Researches based on results of the questioning, conducted in late 2010 - early 2011 among the students of Rostov-on-Don (RSCU), Vladikavkaz (GTU) and Grozny (GGNI). Results were interviewed about 500 people (58.4% - 40.6% of men and - women). 33.3% of respondents represented Rostov-on-Don, 40.4% - the city of Grozny and 26.4% - the city of Vladikavkaz. The questionnaire consisted of questions focused at identifying the subjective opinions on own relation of respondents to a political order, and also questions opening level of a group relative deprivation. The received results of a cognitive component were processed by a method of the statistical analysis. It is revealed, during the studied period there is a low level of participation of the young people to political processes with the average level of an involvement at Rostov-on-Don. In Grozny there are average and high levels of participation of the young people to political processes in the Republic, and also high level of an emotional involvement. Analysis the block of relative deprivation showed the youth of Rostov-on-Don and Vladikavkaz is more subject to a political tension, the least possible tension in the city of Grozny. It is revealed, at Rostov-on-Don there is a process of political alienation. The students of Vladikavkaz associate an assessment of the level of a political tension with local political order, instead of with Russia as a whole. Shown, in general, the level of relative deprivation at the end of 2011 is average.

Keywords: a political tension, deprivation, group installation in relation to a political order, cognitive component, questionnaire, the descriptive statistics.

The paper presents the results of the pilot study of perception of the political order of Rostov-on-Don on the end of 2011. The questioning method was used. In total 499 respondents were interviewed, and captured the age group from 18 years to 65 years. The purpose of questioning - the definition of the emotional component of the group political installation on the classical method of semantic differential Charles Osgood. A comparative analysis was carried out of the averaged semantic level of emotional portraits and making real political order. It is revealed the existing political order in Russia in general and the city of Rostov-on-Don, respondents were almost equally perceived negatively. It is shown the generalized probability perception of an order in Rostov-on-Don and in Russia will change at change of external conditions: at improvement of a situation will slowly increase, at situation deterioration the probability acceptance of an order will quicker decrease, up to zero and negative value.

Keywords: A political tension, semantic differential, factor analysis, the affective component, questioning.

It’s presented the analysis of the cognitive components of the perception of the political order based on the pilot questioning. The questionnaire included a subjective assessment of the following levels the participation in political processes; the emotional involvement into them; discussion of these processes; economic welfare; social protection; life prospects. In addition, the questionnaire included questions about the degree of religiosity, and also the general questions characterizing the respondent (a sex, age, a nationality, level of parent’s education). To assess the level of deprivation used the subjective opinion of respondents on the levels of economic welfare and social protection, assessment of prospects in life, and also the degree of involvement in various political processes. Evaluation revealed a low level of economic welfare for the average values ​​of - 1.73, the low level of social protection - 1.22. It’s received; the level of relative deprivation on a group in December 2011 is higher than an average, reflecting the political tensions in the latent form.

Keywords: a political tension, deprivation, group installation in relation to a political order, cognitive component, questionnaire, the descriptive statistics.

Research is executed on materials of the pilot questioning, conducted in late 2011 among 825 respondents, covering a large part of the socio-territorial groups of the Rostov region. Questionnaires contained two questions blocks intended for assessment cognitive and emotional components of level of a political tension. The revealed levels of economic and social security appeared below an average (about 1.7 on a five-point scale). It contributes to the formation of relative deprivation, and as a consequence leads to increased political tensions. These conclusions are supported by the calculated levels of emotional perception of the political order. The perception of a political order in Rostov region is negative and is at level - 0,3337 on a scale, normalized from -1 (complete rejection of an order) to +1 (complete acceptance). It’s revealed also nonlinear dependence of level of emotional perception and a relative deprivation.

Keywords: a political tension, semantic differential, factor analysis, the affective component, cognitive component, the descriptive statistics, questioning.

This paper presents an analysis of the dynamics the emotional component of the group political installation installation by results of the researches carried out among students in RSCUbetween late 2009 and early 2011 by method of semantic differential. It’s shown the dynamics the average semantic portraits and designed for them the emotional level of perception of the political order. Emotional level’s are determined by the relative proximity of images the real order to images of an ideal positive and negative order, in the linear approximation in the framework of previously developed psychosemantic phenomenological model. It’s received lowering the level of perception during the study period from -0.1 to -0.3, that indicate the increase in political tensions among the respondents.

Keywords: a political tensions, semantic differential, factor analysis, the affectivecomponent, questioning.

Working performances analysis razbrosa otsenok kognitivnogo component relations studentov RGSU k politicheskomu poryadku concession in 2011 goda. Issledovanie vыpolneno a material pilotazhnogo anketirovaniya in kotorom prinyali part 169 chelovek. Shown chto prisutstvuet nizkiy uroveny seats oshibki and falsity in provedenii issledovaniya. Otnositelynыy razbros otsenok from 1.84 to 10.28%. Ishodya seats around svyazi razbrosa otsenok, plyuralistichnosti, vыyavlena ranzhirovka problem studentov most important (within dannoy anketы): 1) эkonomicheskoe blagosostoyanie; 2) perspektivы of budushtee; 3) sotsialynaya zashtishtennosty; 4) obsuzhdaemosty policies semye; 5) vovlechennosty in politicheskie protsessы; 6) prichastnosty k political protsessam.
Klyuchevыe word politicheskiy poryadok, kognitivnыy component gruppovoe vospriyatie, anketirovanie, poll dispersion standartnoe deviation plyuralistichnosty.

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